Digital ladder
Models M0–M4
Start with a napkin. Add physics only when a gate needs it. The number that eventually matters is dollars per megawatt-hour of heat delivered — not a pretty noon efficiency.
M0
LiveSanity check
0-D design-point energy balance. Sizes Ar from Cg. Kills illegal temperatures. No year, no wind map, no pipes.
- Cg = Ac / Ar
- Pin = DNI × Ac
- Prad = εσA T⁴
- Forbidden-T flag
M1
LiveOptical model
Turn facets into a flux map. Geometric concentration is not what the coating sees.
- Mirror reflectivity
- Cosine, blocking, shading
- Tracking error
- CPC intercept
- q''(x,y) and C_flux
M2
LiveReceiver model
Film temperature from peak flux and HTF h. Peak flux drives dump, not mean flux.
- Cavity geometry and aperture exchange
- Wall temperatures
- Conductive leak
- Convection
- HTF heat transfer
M3
LiveTransient thermal
Thermal mass, clouds, pump trip, dump, startup. Time is accelerated; the limits are not.
- Thermal mass
- Cloud transients
- Dump-to-tank
- Startup / shutdown
M4
LiveAnnual system
Hourly typical-year DNI, IAM, soiling, storage oil. The number that matters is $/MWh_th delivered.
- Hourly DNI
- Sun angle
- Parasitics
- Useful heat delivered
- $/MWh_th